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Places the new iPhone won't work: Near Apple headquarters for starters

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) says it sold one million 3G iPhones in its first three days on the market. Some analysts believe that company could sell 20 million of them in the next year.

One of the reasons some people waited for the new 3G version of the phone is that it runs on AT&T's (NYSE: T) faster wireless broadband network. The older version, which ran on the 2.5G network, could be very slow linking to the internet.

Now that over a million people have their faster phones, they may find that there are a lot of places they won't work. AT&T's 3G network is concentrated in large cities. Even in those urban areas and their suburbs, there are a lot of dead spots. At least a couple of those are within a short drive from the Apple and AT&T headquarters.

For people taking their iPhones to Las Vegas, the coverage is extremely good. Anyone taking a vacation to Vermont, New Hampshire, Wyoming, or Montana is out of luck. (For a more complete list of places the new 3G iPhone won't work, visit 247wallst.com.)

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Investments that pay you every month, beware that new car smell & life after Paul for Newman's Own - Today in Money 7/23

Continue reading Investments that pay you every month, beware that new car smell & life after Paul for Newman's Own - Today in Money 7/23

Before the bell: COST, YHOO, WM, BA, PEP, PFE, GOOG ...

Stock futures were higher this morning, indicating stocks could have a positive start to the session as oil prices continued to decline, sinking below $127 a barrel. Weekly inventories numbers reported later today could have an impact on oil prices. Then there is continued optimism in the financial sector, which caused the rally Tuesday. Also, a bill aimed at helping the housing market will reach the House floor. But once again earnings will likely have investors' attention with Costco already giving a profit warning.

Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST)
shares are plunging over 8% in premarket trading after the wholesale retailer warned its August-ending quarter's profit would miss analyst estimates. This is most surprising as Costco had been one of the retailer that seemed to have benefited from consumers trying to save and buy lower-cost items. But Costco blamed the lower profit on rising energy costs, saying it will earn less than $1 per share.

Washington Mutual Inc. (NYSE: WM) late Tuesday reported second-quarter results, posting a loss of $3.3 billion, was worse than analysts had anticipated. Excluding one-time items, WaMu lost $3.34 per share, much wider than the expected loss of $1.05 per share. Piper Jaffray downgraded WM shares from Neutral to Sell and Friedman Billings halved its target price on the shares from $8 to $4. Shares are off nearly 3% in premarket trading.

Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) also reported profits and sales that came up short of estimates. Second-quarter profit fell 18% to $131 million, or 9 cents per share. Analysts had projected earnings of 11 cents per share in the most recent quarter, according to Thomson Financial. Revenue grew 6% to $1.8 billion, or $1.35 billion after subtracting commissions, also below estimates. Yahoo! shares, however, are up about 3% in premarket trading since investors were relieved the performance wasn't as bad as many had feared after Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported last week and disappointed investors. Also, Yahoo didn't dramatically lower its revenue outlook for the remainder of the year.

Continue reading Before the bell: COST, YHOO, WM, BA, PEP, PFE, GOOG ...

Option Update: AT&T & Verizon options active into EPS & outlook

AT&T (NYSE: T) closed at $31.83 Monday. T is scheduled to report Q2 EPS on July 23. T August option implied volatility of 36 is above its 26-week average of 32 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Verizon (NYSE: VZ) is scheduled to report Q2 EPS on July 28. VZ announced second quarter wireless net customer additions of 1.5 million. At the end of the quarter VZ had 68.7 million customers. VZ August option implied volatility of 31 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Analyst downgrades: WB, AIG, BT, NOK, ERIC, ALU, TWTI, T

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Wachovia, American International Group and BT Group were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Wachovia (NYSE: WB) to Underperform from Perform as they believe the outlook is "bleak" for equity shareholders. The firm thinks Wachovia's expenses can't come down fast enough too offset earnings erosion.
  • Wachovia downgraded shares of American International Group (NYSE: AIG) to Market Perform from Outperform as they believe AIG's CDO valuations worsened in Q2, which could result in a $2B-$7B after tax "valuation adjustment." Wachovia expects the value of AIG's core insurance franchise to be obscured by its credit exposure.
  • Collins Stewart cut BT Group (NYSE: BT) to Hold from Buy on concerns surrounding the company's fiber network expansion.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Nokia (NYSE: NOK) was downgraded to Add from Buy at WestLB; the firm also lowered Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Hold from Buy and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) to Sell from Hold.
  • Third Wave (NASDAQ: TWTI) was cut to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  • AT&T (NYSE: T) was removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List.

Early analyst calls (AIG) (T) (WB) (MOT)

Wachovia downgraded AIG (NYSE:AIG) to "market perform" from "outperform", according to Briefing.com. The news service also reports that Oppenheiner downgraded Wachovia (NYSE:WB) to "under-perform" from "market perform".

AT&T (NYSE:T) maintained Buy but Removed from Conviction Buy List at Goldman Sachs according to 247wallst.com. The financial website also reports that Motorola (NYSE:MOT) Started as Sell at Societe Generale

Douglas A. McIntyre

Apple sells a million iPhones -- will Jobs apologize for snafus?

The new Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone is even a bigger hit than analysts had expected. During its debut weekend, about a million units of the phone that can do everything but your taxes were sold. This number is already higher than earlier estimates from today Doug McIntyre has posted. Even Apple's prickly Chief Executive Steve Jobs was impressed.

"iPhone 3G had a stunning opening weekend," he said in a press release issued this morning. " It took 74 days to sell the first one million original iPhones, so the new iPhone 3G is clearly off to a great start around the world."

Indeed, diehard geeks camped out and around Apple and AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) stores to be among the first to get their hands on the sleek new phone. A 22-year-old college student from New Zealand named Jonny Gladwell was the first to purchase the mother of all gadgets. He waited outside his Vodafone store for 60 hours, according to Vnunet.com. His parents must be proud (or horrified).

What makes this even more amazing is that many Apple fans are fuming over technical glitches and shortages of the phone their lives will not be complete without. Gizmodo dubbed this the iPocalypse. Mitch Wagner of Information Week argues that Apple has got some fence-mending to do with customers who clearly expected better.

Continue reading Apple sells a million iPhones -- will Jobs apologize for snafus?

Before the bell: FDX, GE, AAPL, MSFT, BA, GSK

Before the bell: Solid opening expected following Fannie/Freddie gov't plan; BUD takeover

FedEx (NYSE: FDX) may be in talks to buy its rival European rival TNT, according to a report from the Financial Times. TNT shares have jumped 25% in Europe.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) announced Monday it will supply parts for Gulfstream Aircraft Corp.'s G650 business jet in a deal worth potentially more than $100 million. Separately, GE said it would develop with Safran SA a new line of fuel efficient jet engines to compete with United Technologies Corp. (NYSE: UTX) Pratt & Whitney.

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) may have sold as many as 425,000 of its new 3G iPhones in the first three days after the handset made its debut, in line with projections and despite serious technical and activation problems. Apple and AT&T (NYSE: T) sold a combined 225,000 in the U.S. Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray & Co. predicts Apple will sell 4.08 million this quarter.

Continue reading Before the bell: FDX, GE, AAPL, MSFT, BA, GSK

Apple/AT&T iPhone 3G launch deemed a disaster

After having monitored blogs and news of the iPhone 3G launch all morning and afternoon, the general feeling I get is that the launch of the iPhone 3G could be considered nothing less than a disaster. Blame Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), blame AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) -- but if you were brave enough to "have to have" an iPhone 3G on launch day, you may have a need for a stress ball by now.

It appears that Apple's integration with AT&T's activation system didn't fare so well on this day. Both companies should have known, like June of last year, that it would be a super-busy day for the iPhone universe. In what seems like a commonplace event on large product launches, activation servers crashed, software updates failed (even for the older iPhone owners who wanted to updated to the newer software) and scores of customers were left without working iPhones as the in-store activation process was completely fubar'ed by both companies.

For Apple to have such an awesome piece of hardware and software in the iPhone 3G, working with an aging and piecemeal telecom carrier was unfortunately a necessity. After all, Apple does not own a national wireless network with high-speed data capability. But the customer process failed miserably today -- something that zealous and exuberant iPhone 3G buyers should not forget. Did you really, really need that iPhone 3G today? If your answer is yes (yeah, right), you should have expected a nightmare. For many of you, that was delivered rather nicely. Hope you kept up with your pulse, eh?

CenturyTel (CTL): Share price cycles in bullish 'flag'

CenturyTel (NYSE: CTL) is an integrated communications company, providing carrier and enterprise level network access, local and long distance voice service, Internet access and broadband services. Its rural local-exchange carrier subsidiaries operate in the smaller communities of 25 states. Its core service areas are in Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri, Washington, and Wisconsin. AT&T (NYSE: T) is a major competitor.

The company pleased investors late last month, when it increased its annual cash dividend from 27 cents to $2.80, declared a one-time dividend of 63.25 cents per share, and accelerated the current share repurchase program to complete the remaining balance of about $385 million by early 2009. Management also said it expected to meet, or exceed, previously announced Q2 guidance for EPS of 78-82 cents (80 cent consensus) and revenues of $647-$657 million ($652.7M consensus). Soleil and Stanford Research subsequently upgraded CTL shares to "buy" status.

Continue reading CenturyTel (CTL): Share price cycles in bullish 'flag'

Before the bell: DB, GM, AAPL, AZN

Before the bell: Futures higher on SBUX, YHOO, ahead of inventory report

Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) shares are trading 4.2% higher in premarket action after the bank, seeking to calm investors, said it expects a profit in its second quarter.

While AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) unveiled its pricing strategy for Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s 3G iPhone to go on sale July 11 with a $199 and $299 (with contract) price points as expected, Canadians are outraged over Rogers Communications Inc. (NYSE: RCI)'s 3G iPhone rates and have created an online petition that collected over 19,000 signatures already.

AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) rose in Europe and is rising over 2.7% in premarket trading after winning a court case against Teva Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ: TEVA) and the Sandoz unit of Novartis (NYSE: NVS) over patents on its Seroquel schizophrenia drug.

A day after car sales were seen as "not as bad as expected," comes Merrill Lynch and downgrades General Motors (NYSE: GM). Shares are down over 3% in premarket trading.

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Solid yields can't protect equities

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says this is a crucial moment for the dividend-payers, which should be getting support here.

You can't even find protection in yields these days. It just went away. Perhaps we will get it if Sen. Obama gets elected. Perhaps with higher rates. Perhaps with the downfall of the high-yielding American financials. (Nice discussion of the lack of dividend safety courtesy of the man who knows more about dividends than anyone, Dave Peltier, in the Columnist Conversation last week.)

For ages, it seemed you could get to a magic number, typically 4% yield, where stocks would bounce, or at least be given a parachute that opened for a gentle landing.

Last week that parachute failed. You have stocks like Con Ed (NYSE: ED) (Cramer's Take) just getting trashed here, pushing the yield to 6%. You have stocks like Weyerhauser (NYSE: WY) (Cramer's Take), Carnival Cruise (NYSE: CCL) (Cramer's Take), Gannett (NYSE: GCI) (Cramer's Take), just slicing through the protection. The former's got cyclicality, the middle's got consumer and fuel worries, and the latter is in secular. But they all have no trouble paying the dividend.

Or consider Verizon (NYSE: VZ) (Cramer's Take) and AT&T (NYSE: T) (Cramer's Take). The first is at a 5% yield, the other is almost there. No one questions their ability to support that dividend.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Solid yields can't protect equities

The next Apple is ... Apple

This post is part of my series featuring established companies and the smaller, more aggressive or innovative rivals that may eventually succeed them.

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is one of the great stories of corporate America and the stock market. Under the leadership and genius of Steven Jobs, Apple is emerging as the premier technology growth company of this decade and the next. In the past five years the stock has rocketed from $9 to the current $175, and yet the story is actually stronger than ever before.

Apple has three major legs of growth in its arsenal and a distribution system that is second to none. The products of Apple are both cool and revolutionary. The 2002 introduction of the iPod defined the MP3 player space. Apple has sold over 150 million units as of March 2008 and commands over 70% of the market share. Many iPod owners are on their 3rd and 4th units, so the actual penetration of addressable customers has been barely scratched. The newer versions include touch screen and of course can store up to 20,000 songs and numerous movies and pictures.

The Mac computer has been re-engineered these past couple of years and is now the rage of the personal computer market. The new Mac is beginning to enter the traditional enterprise sector while maintaining its dominance in the consumer sector. The Leopard operating system became available in mid-2007 to rave reviews. Apple is taking market share in the competitive personal computer sector while maintaining its pricing structure. The company doesn't compete on price but offers such superior functionality that buyers do not mind paying full retail price. The attendant software programs are also seeing a resurgence and also carry high margins.

Continue reading The next Apple is ... Apple

Verizon (VZ) wants Vodafone (VOD) out of wireless venture

Verizon (NYSE: VZ) is making a fairly concerted effort to get Vodafone (NYSE: VOD) out of its equity position in Verizon Wireless. The question is, why would Vodafone get out? Verizon Wireless makes a lot of money.

According to the FT, the head of Verizon, Ivan Seidenberg said, "Would I like to have 100 per cent of the earnings given we're doing 100 per cent of the work? Yeah, I would."

Verizon Wireless does not pay dividends to Vodafone, so it does not get much of a cash benefit from its piece of the pie, but the FT points out that the British company's stake is worth about $60 billion.

Reflecting on the debate, it would probably be in the best interests of Vodafone shareholders to sell out to Verizon. Their benefits of ownership are limited. Vodafone could use the cash for expansion in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East.

Perhaps the greatest reason for Vodafone to make a graceful exit is the US market itself. Growth of wireless subscribers is slowing as the market reaches a point of saturation. Competition is tough, especially with AT&T (NYSE: T) having about the same number of subscribers as Verizon Wireless. A price war could take down margins at both companies.

Vodafone's stake may never be worth more than it is now.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Trade idea for AT&T (T) upgrade

T logoAT&T (NYSE: T) shares are trading higher today after an analyst at Bernstein upgraded the stock to "Outperform" from "Market Perform" citing the stocks current valuation. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on T.

After hitting a one-year high of $42.97 in September, the stock hit a one-year low of $32.95 in February. T opened this morning at $34.89. So far today the stock has hit a low of $34.87 and a high of $35.25. As of 12:30, T is trading at $35.10, up $0.83 (2.4%). The chart for T looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bull-put credit spread below the $27.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 5.3% return in four months as long as T is above $27.50 at October expiration. AT&T would have to fall by more than 21% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Continue reading Trade idea for AT&T (T) upgrade

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.9411,633.44
NASDAQ+18.502,322.46
S&P 500+5.861,282.86

Last updated: July 23, 2008: 02:59 PM

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